Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
3 - 2
Norwich

Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 1-0 QPR
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Norwich City
54.67% ( 0.52)	22.29% ( -0.26)	23.04% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15% (

0.9)

40.84% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.76% (

0.91)

63.23% (

-0.91)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

0.48)

14.9% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.74% (

0.92)

43.26% (

-0.92)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73% (

0.27)

31.27% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

0.31)

67.62% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Watford 54.67%

Norwich City 23.04%

Draw 22.29%

Watford	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.67%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.04%