/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnorlog.png)
-
Jake Livermore
18'
-
Ismael Kone
30'
-
Mileta Rajovic
33'
-
Yaser Asprilla
77'
-
Danny Batth
3'
-
Hwang Ui-jo
12'
-
Jack Stacey
35'
-
Shane Duffy
64'
-
Borja Sainz
90'+4'
-
Dimitris Giannoulis
90'+4'
Watford vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F35%2Fvalerien-ismael.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result
Watford
54.67%
▲
(+0.53)
Draw
22.29%
▼
(-0.27)
Norwich City
23.04%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
58.49%
▲
(+0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.15%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 2.5
40.84%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 3.5
36.76%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 3.5
63.23%
▼
(-0.92)
Over 4.5
19.6%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 4.5
80.4%
▼
(-0.70)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
85.1%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 0.5
14.9%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 1.5
56.74%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 1.5
43.26%
▼
(-0.93)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5
68.73%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
31.27%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
32.37%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
67.62%
▼
(-0.32)
Score analysis
Watford
54.67%
Draw
22.29%
Norwich City
23.04%
Watford
2-1
@
9.82%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 54.67%
1-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 54.67%
Draw
1-1
@
10.31%
▼
(-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
Norwich City
1-2
@
5.99%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.04%
