Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a win it was 1-0 (7.39%).
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
| 19.84% | 25.12% | 55.04% |
| Both teams to score 45.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% | 56.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% | 77.18% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.93% | 43.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.65% | 79.35% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% | 20.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-1 @ 4.95% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.84% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 13.96% 0-2 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.04% |