Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a win it was 1-0 (4.92%).
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 15.27% | 20.71% | 64.02% |
| Both teams to score 49.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% | 67.92% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% | 42.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% | 78.81% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% | 13.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.39% | 40.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.92% 2-1 @ 4.22% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.27% | 1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.71% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 0-2 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-4 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-5 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.41% 1-5 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.81% Total : 64.01% |