Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Cartagena1 - 2Valencia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Valencia |
| 41.29% | 26.26% | 32.45% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% | 51.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% | 73.64% |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% | 24.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% | 59.41% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% | 29.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% | 66.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Cartagena 41.29%
Valencia 32.45%
Draw 26.26%
| Cartagena | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.45% |
How you voted: Cartagena vs Valencia
Cartagena
13.9%Draw
10.4%Valencia
75.7%115


