Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
| 57.06% | 23.7% | 19.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.43% | 51.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% | 73.37% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% | 17.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% | 41.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.35% | 77.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.56% 4-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.23% |