Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.