Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.