Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.5%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.2%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.