Airdrieonians

2 - 1

Alloa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.