Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 40.01% | 26.08% | 33.9% |
| Both teams to score 53.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% | 59.66% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% | 64.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.9% |