Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
| 44.21% | 26.24% | 29.55% |
| Both teams to score 51.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% | 52.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% | 74.45% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% | 23.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% | 57.93% |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% | 69.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.56% |