Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.