Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 50.54% | 24.18% | 25.28% |
| Both teams to score 54.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% | 47.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% | 69.28% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% | 18.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.05% | 49.95% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% | 32.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% | 69.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.28% |