Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 31.32% | 25.29% | 43.39% |
| Both teams to score 55.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% | 48.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% | 70.31% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% | 28.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% | 64.74% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% | 22.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% | 55.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.32% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.39% |