Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
31.32% | 25.29% | 43.39% |
Both teams to score 55.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.84% | 48.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.68% | 70.31% |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% | 28.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% | 64.74% |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% | 22.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% | 55.54% |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 7.95% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.32% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 91 | 23 | 68 | 88 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 27 | 41 | 68 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 38 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 37 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 35 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 36 | 92 | -56 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |