Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 60.61% | 21.96% | 17.42% |
| Both teams to score 50.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% | 47.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% | 69.37% |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% | 15.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% | 43.64% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% | 40.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.8% | 77.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.38% Total : 60.61% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.42% |