Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 55.3% | 23.5% | 21.2% |
| Both teams to score 51.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% | 48.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% | 70.46% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% | 17.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% | 47.7% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% | 37.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% | 73.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.71% Total : 55.29% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.2% |