| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Montrose | 35 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 | Queen's Park | 35 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Falkirk | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 35 | -5 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 53.3% | 25.23% | 21.47% |
| Both teams to score 47.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% | 54.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% | 76.11% |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% | 20.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% | 53.1% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% | 40.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.83% | 77.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.28% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.47% |