Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.