Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 57.31% | 24.77% | 17.92% |
| Both teams to score 43.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.84% | 57.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.98% | 78.02% |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% | 19.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.98% | 52.02% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.07% | 45.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.34% | 81.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% 2-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 4.99% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.43% Total : 57.31% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.49% Total : 17.92% |