Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 43.39% | 24.98% | 31.63% |
| Both teams to score 56.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% | 46.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% | 68.95% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% | 21.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% | 54.6% |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% | 27.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% | 63.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.63% |