Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 31.21% | 26.05% | 42.74% |
| Both teams to score 52.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% | 51.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% | 73.23% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% | 30.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% | 66.82% |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% | 23.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% | 58.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.73% |