Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
31.21% | 26.05% | 42.74% |
Both teams to score 52.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% | 51.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% | 73.23% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% | 30.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% | 66.82% |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% | 23.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% | 58.07% |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 91 | 23 | 68 | 88 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 27 | 41 | 68 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 38 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 37 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 35 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 36 | 92 | -56 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |