Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 83.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 5.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 4-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Peterhead |
83.77% ( 0.33) | 10.34% ( -0.34) | 5.88% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( 2.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.95% ( 2.15) | 23.05% ( -2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.67% ( 2.85) | 42.33% ( -2.85) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.09% ( 0.42) | 3.91% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.42% ( 1.34) | 16.58% ( -1.34) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.53% ( 1.95) | 44.47% ( -1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.49% ( 1.54) | 80.5% ( -1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Peterhead |
3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.77) 4-0 @ 8% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.67) 5-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.19) 6-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.23) 6-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.22) 5-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.2) 7-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) 7-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.13) 6-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.94% Total : 83.77% | 1-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.04% Total : 10.34% | 1-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.62% Total : 5.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |