Scottish League Cup
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Simon Murray 34' goal
  • Simon Murray 68' yellowcard
  • Simon Murray 85' goal
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 90'+1' goal
  • goal Thomas Goss 40'
  • yellowcard Paul McGowan 58'
  • yellowcard Tommy Muir 68'
  • yellowcard Paul Smith 83'

Dundee vs Annan Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
Arbroath 0 - 2 Dundee

Annan Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 3 Annan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result

Dundee 48.4% (-0.26)
Draw 23.6% (+0.20)
Annan Athletic 28% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.09% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.64% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 42.36% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 35.23% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 64.77% (+0.89)
Over 4.5 18.44% (-0.66)
Under 4.5 81.56% (+0.67)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 82.32% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 17.68% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 51.69% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 48.31% (+0.76)

Annan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.78% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 28.22% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 36.08% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 63.92% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Dundee 48.4%
Draw 23.59%
Annan Athletic 28%
Dundee
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.49% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.99% (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.59%
Annan Athletic
1-2 @ 6.92% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.31% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 3.99% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 28%