Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.