Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.