Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 24.52% ( | 23.58% ( | 51.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% ( | 45.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% ( | 67.46% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( | 32.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( | 68.86% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( | 17.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( | 47.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.52% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.9% |