Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.