Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 35.46% ( | 25.72% ( | 38.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( | 49.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( | 71.11% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( | 26.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( | 61.96% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( | 24.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( | 59.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.81% |