Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Alloa Athletic
61.38% ( 0)	21.55%	17.07% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.02% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03% (

-0.01)

45.97% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72% (

-0.01)

68.28% (

0.01)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

-0)

14.47% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

-0)

42.43% (

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.65% (

-0.01)

40.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.03% (

-0.01)

76.97% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 61.37%

Alloa Athletic 17.07%

Draw 21.55%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.38% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 61.37%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.07%