Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montrose in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 42.14% ( | 26.12% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( | 51.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( | 73.33% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( | 24.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( | 58.58% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( | 66.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.73% |