Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 31.45% ( | 26.44% ( | 42.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% | 52.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% | 74.52% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( | 31.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% ( | 67.51% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( | 24.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( | 59.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.1% |