Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 46.28% ( | 27.32% | 26.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.53% ( | 58.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.94% ( | 79.06% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( | 25.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( | 60.02% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( | 38.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% ( | 74.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.4% |