Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 46.28% ( | 27.32% | 26.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.53% ( | 58.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.94% ( | 79.06% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( | 25.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.97% ( | 60.02% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( | 38.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.21% ( | 74.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.4% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | Livingston | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 55 | 27 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 63 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 48 |
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 35 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 29 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 |
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