Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
2 - 0
Dunfermline

Pittman (49'), Kelly (71')
Brandon (23')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Livingston and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Spartans
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
40.88% ( 1.03)	26.9% ( 0.2)	32.22% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49% (

-1.07)

54.51% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.13% (

-0.89)

75.86% (

0.89)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

0.06)

26.23% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.67% (

0.09)

61.32% (

-0.09)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54% (

-1.36)

31.45% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.16% (

-1.6)

67.84% (

1.6)

Score Analysis

Livingston 40.88%

Dunfermline Athletic 32.22%

Draw 26.9%

Livingston	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.88%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.22%