Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36

May 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
3 - 3
Dunfermline

McKenzie (21'), McRoberts (68'), Dowds (73')
Sanders (70')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Kane (35', 42'), Edwards (45')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Partick 0-0 Ayr
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
46.4% ( 0.55)	24.27% ( 0.01)	29.33% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 57.73% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

-0.33)

44.59% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.05% (

-0.32)

66.95% (

0.32)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

0.1)

19.35% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87% (

0.16)

51.13% (

-0.16)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

-0.54)

28.42% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

-0.69)

64.18% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 46.4%

Dunfermline Athletic 29.33%

Draw 24.27%

Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.33%