May 3, 2024 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 1 3

FT Somerset Park

Mark McKenzie 21'
Lucas McRoberts 68'
Jack Sanders 70'
Anton Dowds 73'

Chris Kane 35'
Chris Kane 42'
Josh Edwards 45'

Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

D
L
W
D
L
W

Scottish Championship

D
L
W
D
L
W

Last game

Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm

Partick 0 - 0 Ayr

Goals scored

53

Top scorer

Anton Dowds

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

D
D
L
D
W
W

Scottish Championship

D
D
L
D
W
W

Last game

Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm

Dunfermline 1 - 1 Inverness

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Craig Wighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 46.4% ▲ (+0.55)

Draw 24.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Dunfermline Athletic 29.33% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score:

57.73% ▼ (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.41% ▼ (-0.33)

Under 2.5 44.59% ▲ (+0.33)

Over 3.5 33.05% ▼ (-0.32)

Under 3.5 66.95% ▲ (+0.32)

Over 4.5 16.83% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 4.5 83.17% ▲ (+0.24)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 80.65% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 0.5 19.35% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 1.5 48.87% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 1.5 51.13% ▼ (-0.17)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.58% ▼ (-0.55)

Under 0.5 28.42% ▲ (+0.54)

Over 1.5 35.82% ▼ (-0.69)

Under 1.5 64.18% ▲ (+0.69)

Score analysis

Ayr United 46.4%

Draw 24.27%

Dunfermline Athletic 29.33%

Ayr United

2-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.05)

1-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.16)

2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.15)

3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.05)

3-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.10)

3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.03)

4-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)

4-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.05)

4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.14%

Total : 46.4%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.02)

2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.06)

0-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.08)

3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.19%

Total : 24.27%

Dunfermline Athletic

1-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.10)

0-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.08)

1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.09)

2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.07)

0-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 3.63%

Total : 29.33%

Head to Head

Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT East End Park

Chris Hamilton 42'
Chris Kane 45'+1'
Miles Welch-Hayes 74'

Frankie Musonda 57'

Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT Somerset Park

Aiden McGeady 41'
Frankie Musonda 63'
Elicha Ahui 90'

Alex Jakubiak 3'
Alex Jakubiak 9'
Craig Wighton 62'
Josh Edwards 86'

Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT East End Park

Logan Chalmers 10'
Elicha Ahui 90'+1'

Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Kevin O'Hara 37'
Liam Polworth 68'
Reece Cole 79'
Nikolay Todorov 86'
Dan Pybus 86'

Aaron Muirhead 35'
Aaron Muirhead 78'

Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Lewis Martin 17'
Sean McGinty 32'
Ben Dempsey 39'
Andy Murdoch 79'

Coll Donaldson 10'
Joe Chalmers 46'
Dan Pybus 54'
Coll Donaldson 68'

Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Lewis McCann 14'
Ryan Dow 40'
Lewis McCann 41'
Lewis McCann 52'

Markus Fjortoft 15'

Form Data

Partick 0 - 0 Ayr

Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Ayr

Ayr 5 - 0 Arbroath

Ayr 1 - 1 Morton

Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 2 - 1 Airdrieonians

Dunfermline 1 - 1 Inverness

Dunfermline 0 - 0 Queen's Park

Airdrieonians 2 - 1 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 1 - 1 Partick

Arbroath 2 - 3 Dunfermline

Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline