Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.