Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.