Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Raith Rovers

Ayr
2 - 0
Raith Rovers

Dowds (40' pen.), Walker (90')
Stanger (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Easton (33'), Matthews (65'), Connolly (88')
Byrne (38')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 3-2 Hamilton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Kirkcaldy & Dysart 0-3 Raith Rovers
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
39.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)34.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.14% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73%27.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 39.97%
    Raith Rovers 34.38%
    Draw 25.64%
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.38%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Raith Rovers
2-1
Ayr
Easton (45+2'), Hamilton (65' pen.)
Easton (67'), Byrne (68')
Chalmers (55')
McAllister (6'), Sanders (71')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ayr
1-2
Raith Rovers
Syla (11')
McKenzie (15'), Dempsey (36')
Rudden (5'), Vaughan (45+2')
Brown (88'), Brown (88')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Raith Rovers
4-4
Ayr
Stanton (30'), Vaughan (45', 81' pen., 90+1')
Byrne (58')
McGeady (29'), Dempsey (55'), Chalmers (63'), Rose (85')
McGinty (43')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Ayr
1-2
Raith Rovers
Dowds (50')
McAllister (56'), Young (82')
Easton (23', 26')
Vaughan (56'), Dick (79')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Ayr
1-0
Raith Rovers
Musonda (55')