Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundee United.