Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 51%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.