Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.