Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.