Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.