Raith Rovers
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stark's Park
Stranraer

Raith Rovers
2 - 1
Stranraer

Hamilton (5'), Fordyce (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dunlop (84')
Gallagher (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Raith Rovers and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stirling 0-3 Raith Rovers
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stranraer 1-3 Ross County
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawStranraer
61.98% (0.061 0.06)21.46% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.56% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.25% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)46.46% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (0.076000000000001 0.08)68.74% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (0.046999999999997 0.05)14.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (0.088999999999999 0.09)42.38% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.015999999999998 0.02)41.27% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)77.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 61.97%
    Stranraer 16.56%
    Draw 21.46%
Raith RoversDrawStranraer
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.97%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.56%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Raith Rovers
P-P
Stranraer
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stranraer
1-1
Raith Rovers
Stevenson (54' pen.)
Stevenson (71')
Baird (36')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 13
Raith Rovers
3-1
Stranraer
Gullan (45', 60'), Baird (49')
Matthews (79')
Stewart (75')
Stewart (28'), Hamilton (55'), Cummins (85')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stranraer
3-2
Raith Rovers
McManus (16'), Dangana (83'), Elliott (85')
Miller (48'), Spencer (70')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Raith Rovers
2-3
Stranraer
McKay (4'), Barjonas (34')
Turner (41'), Cameron (44'), Vitoria (92')
McCann (69'), Crossan (93')