Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 24.92% | 25.19% | 49.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% | 51.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% | 73.3% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% | 35.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.76% | 72.23% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( | 20.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% | 53.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.92% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.33% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 11.55% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.89% |