Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
3 - 0
Hamilton

Pittman (56'), Muirhead (81', 87')
Smith (28'), May (45+1'), Clarke (52'), McGowan (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tumilty (41'), Williamson (75'), Todorov (83'), McGinty (90+2')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Livingston and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Spartans 0-2 Livingston
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Hamilton 4-0 Dundee Utd Res.
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Hamilton Academical
46.86% ( -0.12)	25.6% ( 0.03)	27.54% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.16% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

-0.05)

51.32% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.85% (

-0.05)

73.15% (

0.05)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

-0.07)

21.9% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

-0.11)

55.15% (

0.11)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.78% (

0.04)

33.22% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.17% (

0.05)

69.83% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Livingston 46.85%

Hamilton Academical 27.54%

Draw 25.59%

Livingston	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.85%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.54%