Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Hope CBD Stadium

Hamilton
4 - 0
Dundee Utd Res.

O'Hara (4', 49'), MacDonald (7'), Shaw (89')
Martin (8'), Eadie (31'), Henderson (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Domeracki (72')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Hamilton Academical and Dundee United Reserves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Dundee United Reserves

All competitions

Last Game: East Stirling 2-2 East Kilbride (1-3 pen.)
Wednesday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Ayr	13	2.60	Dowds
2	Falkirk	9	2.25	Spencer
3	Hamilton	5	1.00	Shaw
4	Livingston	5	1.25	Pittman
5	Partick	4	1.00	Ablade
6	Queen's Park	4	1.00	Rudden
7	Airdrieonians	3	0.75	Aiken
8	Morton	3	0.75	Baird
9	Dunfermline	1	0.25	Otoo
10	Raith Rovers	1	0.25	Easton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 80.45%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Dundee United Reserves had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.83%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Dundee United Reserves win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Dundee United Reserves
80.45% ( 2.41)	13.18% ( -1.06)	6.37% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 42.65% (

-3.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.12% (

-0.41)

36.88% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.94% (

-0.44)

59.06% (

0.44)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.86% (

0.42)

7.14% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74% (

1.09)

26% (

-1.09)

Dundee United Reserves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.93% (

-3.99)

54.07% (

3.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.68% (

-2.61)

87.32% (

2.61)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 80.44%

Dundee United Reserves 6.37%

Draw 13.18%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Dundee United Reserves
2-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.97) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.46) 4-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.5) 5-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.36) 6-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.2) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.54% Total : 80.44%	1-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.51% Total : 13.18%	0-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.41) Other @ 2.07% Total : 6.37%