Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ainslie Park Stadium

Spartans
0 - 2
Livingston

Denholm (59'), Russell (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

May (65'), Smith (81')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Spartans and Livingston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

Last Game: Edinburgh 1-3 Spartans
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Next Game: Spartans vs. Inverness
Saturday, January 17 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Livingston

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: Livingston vs. St Mirren
Saturday, January 17 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Spartans win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Spartans	Draw	Livingston
19.25% ( 0.23)	22.86% ( 0.09)	57.88% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 50.93% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

-0.05)

48.17% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.04)

70.32% (

0.04)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89% (

0.24)

39.11% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.17% (

0.22)

75.83% (

-0.23)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64% (

-0.13)

16.36% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.02% (

-0.24)

45.98% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Spartans 19.25%

Livingston 57.88%

Draw 22.86%

Spartans	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.25%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.48% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 57.88%