Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Spartans win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.