Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Greenock Morton
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Raith Rovers

Morton
2 - 0
Raith Rovers

Stuparevic (49'), Garrity (54')
Wilson (58'), Blues (85'), Gillespie (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stevenson (70')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Morton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-0 Falkirk
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawRaith Rovers
39.66% (0.564 0.56)27.94% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)32.41% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.63% (0.112 0.11)58.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)78.98% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (0.381 0.38)28.72% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (0.474 0.47)64.56% (-0.47099999999999 -0.47)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)33.31% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.326 -0.33)69.93% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 39.65%
    Raith Rovers 32.4%
    Draw 27.93%
Greenock MortonDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 39.65%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Morton
0-0
Raith Rovers
Broadfoot (37'), O'Connor (82')
O'Connor (68'), Murray (68')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Raith Rovers
0-0
Morton
Connolly (25'), Smith (40'), Turner (90+2')
Baird (16'), O'Connor (23'), Muirhead (45+1')
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morton
1-2
Raith Rovers
Wilson (48')
MacDonald (9'), Crawford (35'), Muirhead (78'), Baird (90+4')
Connolly (26', 41')
Millen (34'), Dick (70')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Raith Rovers
3-2
Morton
Hamilton (5'), Vaughan (14' pen.), Smith (76')
Hamilton (27'), Watson (46'), Millen (57'), Vaughan (61'), Byrne (87')
Muirhead (17'), Crawford (71')
Broadfoot (13'), Waters (26'), Quitongo (45+1'), Oakley (47'), Boyd (57'), O'Connor (87'), King (90+5'), McGrattan (90+5')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morton
1-0
Raith Rovers
King (2')