Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 39.83% ( | 27.53% ( | 32.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( | 56.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( | 77.77% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( | 27.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( | 63.51% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( | 32.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% ( | 68.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.63% |