Scottish Challenge Cup
Oct 12, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT East End Park
  • Chris Kane 23' goal
  • Matty Todd 32' goal
  • goal Craig Johnston 15'
  • yellowcard Billy Owens 41'

Dunfermline Athletic vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 49.93% (-0.20)
Draw 23.12% (+0.09)
Kelty Hearts 26.95% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.89% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.08% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 40.91% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 36.69% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 63.3% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 19.55% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 80.45% (+0.25)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 83.44% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 16.56% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 53.66% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 46.34% (+0.34)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 71.78% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 28.22% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 36.08% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 63.92% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 49.93%
Draw 23.12%
Kelty Hearts 26.95%
Dunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.56% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 49.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.67% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.12%
Kelty Hearts
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.91% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 26.95%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 19
Dec 24, 2022 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alfie Agyeman 60' goal
  • goal Lewis Martin 67' (OG)
  • goal Lewis McCann 86'
Scottish League One Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nikolay Todorov 22' goal
  • Craig Wighton 55' goal
  • goal Darren Lyon 30'
Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordon Forster 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Todd 42'