Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Annan Athletic

Kelty Hearts
3 - 0
Annan

Mercer (12'), Moore (27'), Williamson (69')
O'Ware (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Muir (83')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Annan Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Arbroath 2-0 Annan
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawAnnan Athletic
40.45% (-0.507 -0.51)24.03% (0.218 0.22)35.53% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 61.16% (-0.747 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-0.999 -1)41.18% (0.997 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (-1.022 -1.02)63.57% (1.021 1.02)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.655 -0.66)20.56% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (-1.047 -1.05)53.08% (1.047 1.05)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.304 -0.3)23.01% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.449 -0.45)56.82% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 40.45%
    Annan Athletic 35.53%
    Draw 24.02%
Kelty HeartsDrawAnnan Athletic
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.187 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.212 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35.53%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Annan
3-2
Kelty Hearts
Smith (26'), Hunter (35'), Lussint (38')
(90+3')
Tidser (40'), Johnston (48')
Lyon (50'), Moore (87')
O'Ware (90')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Annan
Bavidge (28' pen.)
Goss (73')
Muir (25'), Nugent (56'), Smith (64'), Swinglehurst (87')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Annan
2-2
Kelty Hearts
Garrity (15'), Smith (67')
Douglas (35'), Smith (40'), Galloway (70')
Lyon (41'), Moore (88' pen.)
Bavidge (72'), McCluskey (80')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Annan
Johnston (62')
O'Donnell (40')
Smith (78')
Docherty (29'), Lussint (31')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Annan
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Goss (63' pen.)
Low (58' pen.), Barjonas (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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